The fall of Nicolás Maduro and the fate of Mexico
https://www.semanarioelreto.com/single-post/2019/02/04/La-ca%C3%ADda-de-Nicol%C3%A1s-Maduro-y-el-destino-de-M%C3%A9xico
February 4, 2019
Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero
Even though Morena is made up of a wide plurality of forces and groups that managed to unify the indignation to make López Obrador reach the presidency of Mexico, there is no cohesion and strength to inhibit the effect that the probable political change in Venezuela will have. This fact can be highly significant for the progressive governments of Latin America. The geopolitical intervention of North America activates the license for the oligarchies to radicalize their positions. In Mexico, hate campaigns, the opportunism of the media and the vileness of political actors will increase.
Progressive governments are still trying to digest the effects of neoliberal globalization, aspire to rebuild a Welfare State that distributes income, improves the condition of humanity and safeguards the environment. However, things seem ungovernable and neoliberal forces become obscure. The task is complicated in front of a society without class consciousness and much less a homeland, it only wants efficiency and results to live the moment of an ephemeral and surprising modernity.
If President Nicolás Maduro falls, the strategy used in Venezuela will be the paradigm to confront and polarize the López Obrador government. It may seem normal that in a democracy the political forces compete aggressively for power, the abnormal is the coup and disloyal behavior to the political system and the community. Government inefficiency or exhaustion of the Chavez regime combined with the ambition of the Venezuelan oligarchy, generate a difficult environment. The last ones do not care about their country, they have always been in the service of foreign forces and they have no other identity than Miami. In Mexico this has been the same for some time, these groups are latent and generate the right environment to activate.
Donald Trump wants to impose a global disaster to retain the presidency, this is a wrong route that is not only distant from the American voter, it is the cause of the exhaustion and crisis in the United States. The republicans do not finish assimilating the lesson: to intervene abroad implies that the internal problems multiply and the cost is assumed by the taxpayer. Interventionism is equal to immigration and excessive subsidies for useless missions abroad. Globalization is uncontrollable and, therefore, the United States must concentrate on its local problems. Trump must fulfill the campaign promises, assume the nationalist character he promised, take the transnationals to his home and provide employment for his people.
In Mexico, the opposition to López Obrador will use all the smear and fear campaigns that are within their reach, they have no limits and are capable of putting the people against the people. AMLO is in the same position as Vicente Fox at the beginning of his six-year term: he generates immediate results or adheres to the usual corrupt ones to simulate governability. Big Fish!, demanded the one with the boots, a people hurt by so many years of suffering. The understanding of the dilemma may reduce the enmity between both characters.
The media war sooner or later has effects and are exhausting for the government in turn. There is no society immune to so much poison, there is no community that supports more pain in countries like Mexico. It is time for our country and the Ibero-American region to understand that, as Juan Linz pointed out, presidentialism does not serve as a form of government and only generates the license for US interventions. Parliamentarism is the necessary vaccine for political forces to force themselves to collaborate and avoid scenarios such as Chile in 1973 or Guatemala in 1954. If Venezuela were a parliamentarian, would there be a coup? The pettiness of the opposition has to be transformed into governmental co-responsibility, nobody needs revolutions or Vietnams, system re-engineering is needed. While the eternal reform of the State in Mexico will forget this point, the Kissinger, the CIA, the Marines and the counterinsurgency will always return.
The dialogue with the true civil society, the opposition to Donald Trump and the alternative movements are effective strategies in the short term; however, they are placebos braking a pathology that is seen as metastasis. The change of the form of government in Mexico is a necessary line for not reaching Venezuela.