Wednesday, April 01, 2026

Mexico as a Pillar of North America

 Mexico as a Pillar of North America

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




The idea that Mexico is a “middle power” is, at best, rhetorical excess and, at worst, a dangerous delusion.


The reality is harsher: Mexico operates as North America’s maquiladora region, a supplier of labor and logistics that the “Empire” could, if it so chose, replace or discipline through immediate control.


History does not lie: attempts to challenge Washington’s geopolitical gravity have ended in collapse, from the decline of Porfirio Díaz to the financial disaster of José López Portillo.


Today, the country is lost in a “halo effect” of populism that prioritizes spectacle over strategy.


While figures like Omar García Harfuch, aka “Batman,” or the defense of a “paper sovereignty” in the face of the Cuban crisis serve to fuel the domestic narrative, the real world is heading toward an unprecedented security and supply crisis.


The inconvenient truth is this: if the United States falls, Mexico disappears.


There is no Plan B in Beijing, no salvation in Moscow, no refuge in Tehran.


Latin American elites have historically used the people as cannon fodder to buy time and protection, but this capacity for manipulation is exhausted by hardship.


The Chilean path demonstrated that the only peaceful and successful coexistence with the North arises from order and institutions, not from sovereignist tantrums.


Mexico must aspire to be the "Little House" of North America; an integration that responds not to cultural supremacy, but to the relentless dynamics of regional capitalism.


Our geopolitical margin is narrow: either we democratize and use soft power to influence the bloc, or we will be absorbed by the force of events.


Beneath the surface of what analysts like Carlos Ramírez and Luis Carlos Ugalde call "Populist Neoliberalism" or authoritarianism lies an inescapable reality: we are a tributary state and a critical security zone for Washington.


The viability of the 21st century lies not in "romantic diversification" toward transatlantic or Asian horizons—which only deepen our deficit and vulnerability—but in the consolidation of our North American identity.


In this scenario, Marcelo Ebrard's strategy is not just diplomacy but an imperative for survival.


Mexico and Canada must reclaim Robert Pastor's vision: a community of interests that transcends geographical proximity.


Attempting to replace this bloc with support from Europe or Asia is a systemic miscalculation.


Our logistical structures are designed for continental integration; any attempt at isolation will only fragment the resilience that the most dynamic market on the planet provides us.


The strength of the balance of payments is the clearest indicator for decision-making.


While intra-North American trade sustains our stability, our relationship with Asian giants tends to weaken our financial maneuvering.


Globalization has been reconfigured into a profound regionalism where proximity is the supreme strategic asset.


The ruling party is entering a labyrinth of sterile factionalism and local strongmen who neglect the general welfare. The need for figures who prioritize the viability of the state over the rhetoric of conflict is emerging.


In this chaos of centrifugal leadership, technical management and strategic integration become the only tools capable of safeguarding the future.


Faced with the imminent crisis due to the situation in the Middle East, will Mexican society be able to accept a technical “Oppenheimer,” or will it choose the resentment sown by populism and “go down with the captain” rather than be saved by the expert?


The path to true freedom is not built with rhetoric, but with the order that only technology can guarantee.


In this urgent scenario, Marcelo Ebrard Casaubón stands as the Oppenheimer of national survival: the technical expert capable of harnessing the "bomb" of prosperity through a cordial and strategic relationship with the United States.


While the noise of populist attacks fades in the face of scarcity, the echo of reason points to Ebrard as the necessary architect to safeguard the economy and manage our inseparable membership in the Northern bloc.


Mexico has no time for further ideological distractions; its viability depends on leaders who prioritize the effectiveness of data over the narrative of conflict.


It is time to act as the strategic partners that geography and capital dictate, under the guidance of the one who holds the key to external harmony, or accept the consequences of becoming a forgotten and impoverished periphery.


The moment of truth has arrived.

The Bonsai Parties

The Bonsai Parties

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




Small parties have historically played a key role as intermediaries for diverse interests within the Mexican political system.


They have often been considered mercenary actors implementing strategies aimed at perpetuating the status quo.


Prominent examples include the Green Party of Mexico and the Labor Party: the former with a deeply questionable track record, while the latter illustrates the serious contradictions between social liberalism and Maoist ideologies.


Paradoxically, these actors represent part of the commitment to building democracy that drives the second phase of the Fourth Transformation.


In the complex Mexican political landscape, it is difficult to escape the veto power that small parties have acquired.


Their influence, though discreet, has become considerable.


During the years of the hegemonic party, they were mere satellites at the service of centralized presidentialism.


But in the neoliberal era, they acquired disproportionate power, becoming arbiters that facilitated the executive branch's ability to govern at a considerable cost.


The big question now is: what will their role and political price be in the face of challenges posed by phenomena such as imperialist Trumpism?


There is no doubt that these political forces have perfected a form of blackmail that could be harmful to society and even to the political systems of Mexico and its northern neighbor, the United States.


The virtual tie in the struggle for hegemony and the inability to reconcile the country's main socioeconomic currents reveal a serious problem of factionalism and a lack of political understanding.


It is crucial to find ways to overcome the gridlock represented by these empowered small parties.


One necessary alternative would be the implementation of a runoff election for the main public offices in Mexico.


While the phenomenon known as ephebocracy highlights one of the current ills of politics; However, it's easy to lose sight of the fact that "political dwarfism" is even more damaging, as it fuels private interests at the expense of the common good.


Both the Green Party and the Labor Party have demonstrated a remarkable ability to capitalize on their manipulative capacity, thus becoming decisive vehicles for shaping the country's public agenda.


This raises a troubling question: could these small parties be the force that, as General Porfirio Díaz feared, would ultimately weaken not only Mexico but also the United States? History teaches us that the greatest cataclysms often stem from a lack of attention to detail.


Perhaps, after all, the great transformation lies in the seemingly modest interests of those who see themselves as small-time reformers.

Dialogue between Donald Trump and Antonio López de Santa Anna

Dialogue between Donald Trump and Antonio López de Santa Anna

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




In the inferno where time stands still in agony, two shadows converge in a distorted mirror of history, a confrontation of betrayals and decadence.


One, with skin that reflects the burns of power, is the spirit of the United States under the mask of Donald Trump.


The other, with a cynical face and empty gaze, is Antonio López de Santa Anna, the embodiment of a Mexico that sold its destiny.


They are two Machiavellians, two demons united by the destruction of their nations.


Trump breaks the silence with an ironic and worn tone: Here we are, Santa Anna, two corpses disguised in glory in this shared ruin.


Unbridled capitalism and ambition brought me here, but you, dictator of a thousand defeats, what did you do to avoid the fall? You sold yourself to the highest bidder while your corruption fueled the machinery that devours us both today.


My wall was a symbol, but your weakness was the true foundation of this abyss.


Santa Anna responds with a bitter smile that sounds like a stifled cry: You talk about sales, New Yorker, when you turned politics into a brothel of egos.


In Mexico, we learned to survive amidst betrayal and complicity; we lost our dignity in shady deals, surrounded by factions that only sought plunder.


But you, with your imperialism and addiction to conflict, led your people into an even deeper void.


My culture of poverty is, at least, a cynical form of resistance; your war is just a business that consumes your own children.


Trump retorts with a laugh that echoes off the sulfurous walls: Resistance? What you call that is just prolonged impunity.


While we reproach each other for our failings, the horizon reveals an unstoppable tide: China, Russia, and Islam advance upon the ruins of the West.


Consumerist totalitarianism destroyed the very fiber of character that defined us.


We are no longer the leaders the world feared or respected; we are living corpses watching the empire disintegrate under pressures we once scorned.


Santa Anna adds with terminal cynicism: In that destruction, we will be dragged down together.


The corruption I fostered and the inequality you exacerbated are reflections of our inability to save the national soul.


Western culture has been torn apart by its own greed and blindness to reality.


The hope of regeneration has vanished, and all that remains is to await final defeat at the hands of the powers rising from our ashes.


Silence falls once more, heavy as an omen.


Both demons understand that history has condemned them beyond remedy.


The monster of totalitarian capitalism devours the remnants of their empires, leaving only smoke and the memory of a power that was nothing but an illusion.


In this inferno with no return, Trump and Santa Anna, symbols of a civilization in its twilight, contemplate their inevitable fall, trapped in a cycle of betrayal that condemns them to absolute self-destruction in the abyss. The "Shield" is not a regeneration, but the formalization of dependency. It is the climax of Santa Anna's betrayal and the paroxysm of Trump's expansive isolationism.


They remain two demons discussing how, in trying to salvage the remnants of their power, they ended up suffocating the souls of their respective peoples.


Trump, adjusting his golden crown, which now emits a pale, radioactive glow, points toward the world of the living: "Look at that display, Santa Anna! The Shield of America.


It is my vision perfected.


It is not just a stone wall; it is a network of steel, satellites, and algorithms that envelops the continent.


I have convinced your successors that the only way to avoid death is to hand me the keys to their house."


Isn't this a masterpiece of negotiation? I've turned the fear of narco-terrorism into the heaviest chain they've ever worn.


Santa Anna, whose iron chains clang with a dry sound, lets out a laugh that sounds like earth falling on a coffin: You're wrong to call it a victory, Trump.


What you call a shield, I recognize as my own signature on the Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, but extended across the entire map.


You've achieved what I couldn't: making Mexico ask to be invaded willingly.


But tell me, at what cost to your empire? By trying to fortify the south, you've turned the United States into a weary jailer.


You're spending your last bit of energy guarding a border that no longer divides two nations, but two ruins chasing their own tails.


Trump turns to him, his eyes blazing with cold fury: It's survival! China is breathing down our necks, and Russia is laughing at our former decency.


The Shield is the only way to keep the consumer feast within our borders.


If saving my economy means managing your cities and hunting your demons as if they were my own, I'll do it.

The Gosth of Traian Romanescu: Morena supporters against Netanyahu

 The Gosth of Traian Romanescu: Morena supporters against Netanyahu

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




The shadow of suspicion that hangs over Benjamin Netanyahu today is not, in essence, a new phenomenon in the Mexican political imagination. What we observe in contemporary intellectual circles, which casually compare the Israeli leader to the architects of 20th-century totalitarianism, is the transfer of an old pathology: the antisemitism of Catholic nationalism that figures like Sáenz Arriaga, Salvador Borrego, and Cuesta Gallardo instilled in the national psyche, now disguised in the anti-Zionist populism of the self-proclaimed Fourth Transformation.

This rhetoric, which attempts to portray the alliance between Netanyahu and Donald Trump as a new "conspiracy for chaos," merely recycles the myth of the synagogue of Satan under a veneer of geopolitical progressivism. It is imperative to distinguish between legitimate criticism of government management and the structural Judeophobia that dehumanizes the State of Israel.

To attribute to Netanyahu a racist messianism that acts against humanity is to ignore the historical tragedy of a people who, after being abandoned by the international community, understood that their survival depends not on the benevolence of others, but on their own strength and determination. Israel's manifest destiny is not an affront, but a reminder of dignity in the face of extermination.

As the theology of history aptly pointed out, drawing on ideas present in authors such as Jacques Maritain or Romano Guardini himself—who emphasized that the salvation of the world is inextricably linked to the mystery of Israel—the Jewish people are the axis through which God addresses creation.

To deny this role is to deny the very root of Western civilization. Justifying Netanyahu in the face of Catholic nationalism requires dismantling the idea of ​​the "abandoned soldier" who seeks enemies in the shadows to explain his own decline. Faced with Morena's populism, the response must be realistic: Israel is not a gratuitous aggressor, but a democracy besieged by regimes that have sworn to its annihilation.

While detractors speak of an imaginary Judeophilia, what exists is objective recognition of a state that, with order and discipline, freedom, anti-corruption, and democracy, has built an oasis of development in a desert of authoritarianism. Accusing Israel of assassination while remaining silent about the terrorism that plagues it is an unacceptable moral asymmetry.

The Jewish people will continue to respond with the strength that history has compelled them to forge. Israel is there so that the world may learn that faith and destiny are not abstractions, but realities that are defended with life and civic duty. Despite the dissatisfaction of Judeophobes, both past and present, the greatness of Israel remains a mirror in which humanity must see its own capacity to rise from the ashes.

Israel's destiny was not to be a power to dominate and crush others, but to be a Light to the nations. Israel survives not because it seeks world domination, but because it refuses to be erased from it. Its discipline and destiny are tools of preservation, not tyrannical expansion.

If the world falls into the hands of a power that denies the freedom of the soul, dignity, and liberty, it matters not whether that power is orderly or prosperous; the world will be a graveyard. Is Chinese, drug-trafficking, Muslim, fascist, Hindu, etc., domination better than the prospects of liberal capitalist democracies?

Another Stripe on the Tiger

 Another Stripe on the Tiger

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




Mexico is at a breaking point institutionally. The most recent report from the V-Dem Institute at the University of Gothenburg, one of the most respected global authorities in measuring political systems, has reclassified our country. Mexico is no longer considered a democracy, but an electoral autocracy. This diagnosis coincides with the warnings that political scientist José Antonio Aguilar Rivera has issued regarding the erosion of Mexican liberalism. The decline is not an isolated event, but a seven-year process.

According to the assessment, the deterioration began after the 2018 elections and has accelerated under the current administration. The data is conclusive: Mexico now ranks below nations like India, Peru, and Senegal in its democratic standards. The world, in general, has regressed to levels of freedom comparable to 1978, but the Mexican case stands out for the speed of its transformation.

An electoral autocracy is a regime where elections are still held, but the playing field is so skewed that competition is artificial. Recent reforms are blamed for this regression. The reform of the judiciary to elect judges by popular vote is seen by experts as the capture of the last independent check on power.

By politicizing the courts, the balance of power disappears.The report details that freedom of expression is the first domino to fall.

Harassment of the press and attempts at censorship place the government among the top global offenders of the last decade. Differences and conflicts with civil society are also included in this category of curtailment of freedoms. The absolute control that Morena exercises over the executive and legislative branches has allowed it to dismantle the institutional framework that took decades to build.

In the words of experts like Aguilar Rivera, we are not returning to the hegemonic party system of the last century, but rather facing a new model that uses the legitimacy of the ballot box to suppress pluralism.V-Dem's warning is clear: when a democracy begins to autocratize, it is far more likely to collapse completely than to survive.

The Coming Progressive Right

 The Coming Progressive Right

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




While the historical right, that of the Habsburg model, corporatist and clerical, clings to its remnants of power through local political bosses, a more insidious creature is emerging: the progressive right of the digital youth.


It is not a force for liberation, but rather the enforcer of an algorithmic puritanism that has transformed the classroom into a pocket-sized Inquisition tribunal.


These young people, who carry their cell phones like personal panopticons, are not rebels; they are the new watchdogs of a regime that despises them while granting them the illusion of moral superiority.


It is the minionization of the spirit: a mass desperately seeking a charismatic villain to serve and a scapegoat to cancel.


They have replaced hard data and scientific rigor with the fetish of identity, validating an authoritarian structure that uses tenderness to conceal what is rotten.


This new right wing doesn't need bayonets when it has students willing to denounce any teacher who dares to interrupt its lethargy with the aridity of real-world politics or thermodynamics, anthropocentrism or geopolitics. The system doesn't need to send the army into the square if it can send the "minion masses" to digitally lynch anyone who steps out of line.


"Repression" today means exclusion from the job market, social media blackouts, and the budgetary strangulation of intelligence.


The looming conflict will not be between progress and reaction, but between two forms of servitude.


On one side, the old order of personal loyalties; on the other, this consumerist vanguard that confuses empathy with censorship.


However, the awakening will be tragic.


In a Mexico where infrastructure is crumbling, pollution is devouring the future, and public administration is a prize for the incompetent, the Sultan algorithm will offer little solace.


Cell phones will be useless tools in the face of the harsh realities of manual labor and the scarcity they will inherit.


Digital courtiers are being cultivated for a world that demands engineers and critical thinkers.


While the political class smiles for the cameras, the intelligentsia silently drinks its hemlock, aware that the mirage of digital freedom is merely the prelude to a new and deeper darkness.


Gabriel Careaga exposed the university students of '68 not as romantic revolutionaries, but as aspirational individuals with a profound fear of downward mobility.


According to him, their "rebellion" was actually a tantrum to ensure the system guaranteed their place in the pyramid of privilege.


If we apply this lens to the progressive right (the digital ephebocracy), the scenario is terrifyingly cyclical. I hope they have time to escape.


Just as Robespierre ended up on the guillotine, this youth-dominated system could turn against the regime if it isn't "pure" or "tender" enough at any given moment.

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Will Mexico save NAFTA?

 Will Mexico Save NAFTA?

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




The viability of the Mexican economy in the 21st century lies not in romantic diversification toward transatlantic or Asian horizons, but in consolidating its identity as a fundamental pillar of the North American region.


Given the complex estrangement that has characterized the relationship with the Donald Trump administration, Secretary Marcelo Ebrard's strategy of strengthening ties with Ottawa is not only a shrewd diplomatic move, but an imperative for commercial survival.


Mexico and Canada now share the urgent need to rescue the continental vision that Robert Pastor proposed decades ago: an integrated North America that transcends mere geographic proximity to become a community of shared interests.


This strategic alliance seeks to shield the USMCA from protectionist impulses, recognizing that both countries are the United States' most stable and complementary partners.


Attempting to replace this bloc with support from Europe or Asia is, from a business perspective, a systemic miscalculation, given that our logistics and production structures are intrinsically designed for regional integration.


The strength of the balance of payments is the clearest indicator for decision-making in the highest corporate and diplomatic spheres.


While intra-North American trade generates a surplus that sustains macroeconomic stability and strengthens local value chains, trade relations with Asian giants and European powers tend to deepen a deficit that weakens our financial maneuvering capacity.


Far from being over, liberal globalization has been reconfigured toward a profound regionalism where proximity and security of supply are the new strategic assets.


Mexico must understand that its place at the global table depends on its ability to act as a bloc with its northern partners; any attempt at isolation or the search for geographically distant alternatives would only fragment the resilience that the most dynamic market on the planet provides us.


In this sense, the current mission is none other than to reaffirm that Mexico's prosperity is inextricably linked to the stability of North America, preventing an economic catastrophe through the technical and pragmatic defense of our continental integration.


While the National Regeneration Movement (MORENA) delves into a labyrinth of sterile factionalism, where the project's founding promises seem to dissolve in a confrontation of regionalisms and particular power brokers, a figure emerges who prioritizes the viability of the State over the rhetoric of conflict.


While the party structure risks implosion due to the struggle of centrifugal leaders who neglect the general welfare, Marcelo Ebrard Casaubón is consolidating his position as the architect of a transition toward economic modernization, precisely articulating the ideal mechanisms for wealth creation and the stability of production chains. His administration transcends ideological disputes to focus on Mexico's strategic integration into the international community, demonstrating that true transformation lies not in the hegemony of any one group, but in the technical capacity to safeguard the future against uncertainty.


On the horizon of national politics, only he who holds the key to external harmony and control over the flow of capital will be able to steer the ship of state when the winds of internal discord finally run out of steam.


The path is laid out for those who understand that order is the necessary prelude to true freedom, and their moment will arrive when the echo of reason drowns out the noise of assault.