Trumpism in the succession agenda of the Mexican presidency

 Trumpism in the succession agenda of the Mexican presidency

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero

Masses have begun to take place in the Mexican Catholic rite so that the Republican candidate for the presidency of the United States of America does not come to power. A large part of the regions that send migrants in our country and Latin America observe with concern the nationalist and conservative discourse of the Republicans who talk about closing the doors of North America in every sense. How serious is Trumpist rhetoric as a government project for the future of Mexico?

During the presidency of Enrique Peña Nieto, the government decided to anticipate the scenario of Republican victory and summon the US presidential candidate to generate some type of agreement that would guarantee peace and non-aggression against our country which, according to the current narrative of the Republicans, only He deserves the atomic bomb. Things weren't so bad for Mexico after all, the republic could have suffered a fate like Ukraine and it didn't happen. Now Donald Trump returns to the fray and public opinion in the United States demands true paths for the proposal to enlarge the Yankee Empire. The WASP status quo is taking the Hispanic challenge as a serious risk.

Despite Peña Nieto's terrible mistakes, his decision was the right one to make peace with Donald Trump. What are the different political forces doing now? Outside of the late Eduardo Verástegui, no one takes seriously that Trump is in the anteroom of the White House and with thousands of horsepower behind him.

Republicans and the public opinion that favors them think that the time has come for radical measures against Mexico - and they are not wrong - on the issues of trade, migration, drug trafficking and geopolitical security. A Morenista legislative majority will be of little or no use if the United States decides to invade Mexico.

The candidates for the presidency of the Mexican Republic have not considered how our country will face the review of the USMCA, the probable return of millions of illegal immigrants, the bombing of areas identified with drug cartels, the actual construction of the border wall and the way in which the civilian population will be protected in a scenario of military conflict. Why doesn't the INE (Instituto Nacional Electoral) invite Donald Trump's candidates to debate?

Mexico's enemy is not AMLO or FAMXX, once again one of the most important risks for today's Mexico arises in the overloaded Donald Trump. We do not have the military and political capacity to confront a war with the United States; guerrilla warfare would prolong complete and contagious ungovernability even for imperialism; but Republicans want to take the risk. It is essential that Mexico knows the future president of the United States better and needs to act preventively to avoid greater risks. Trump has expressed admiration for Vladimir Putin and his peculiar way of resolving geopolitics. The analogy between Ukraine and Mexico is compelling. The political parties in dispute for the presidency of Mexico must dialogue with Donald Trump before experiencing the persecution of Volodomir Zelenski.

The EZLN and the persistence of Deep Mexico

 The EZLN and the persistence of Deep Mexico

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero

The appearance of the Zapatista Army of National Liberation meant the cancellation of the candidacy of Luis Donaldo Colosio. In one way or another, the guerrilla hurts political candidates because it delegitimizes participation through the institutional means of political struggle and only grants guarantees to the armed means.

Mexico is a country of painful, long-standing inequalities that urgently need to be resolved. The continuation of guerrillas like the EZLN is indicative that the needs of deep Mexico have not been met and, after resorting to all types of means to achieve their attention, the use of weapons to project their demands is considered necessary; Hence, the criticisms of the head of the federal Executive against the EZLN were incomprehensible. Unlike the Mexican narcoterrorists, the Zapatista guerrilla does not have the arsenal to exert violence on a disproportionate scale; On the other hand, the EZLN has been confronted and attacked as the strongest cartel in the country. It's not fair.

The EZLN appeared at a time when Mexican integration with North America seemed logical and immediate. Zapatismo, in these circumstances, has been Cleopatra's nose in Mexican history; More than a hindrance, it is a human and social actor that comes to settle accounts of the past and oblivion and invites us to raise awareness about the path that the Mexican political system has taken.

Indigenous people continue to be the most discriminated against and marginalized social stratum in the country. Mexico remains as it was in the time of Bartolomé de las Casas and the country is not capable of incorporating the original communities. The damage is enormous over time and the reasons are not understood. The storm guerrillas continue to appear to tell us that something is missing in Mexico, that we are not complete on the journey.

The search for effective public policies and an equitable legal framework are also debts of the Fourth Transformation with the indigenous communities, especially when being Mexican constituted one of the main focuses of attention of the current government.

The War on Drug Trafficking as a long duration

 The War on Drug Trafficking as a long duration

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero

The extensive combat against groups dedicated to drug trafficking in Latin America seems to become the new hegemonic strategy of the United States. What happened in Ecuador and the response of the authorities to a problem of such magnitude show the way in which capitalism devastates the State. The idea that narco-societies can only be combated through the use of the armed forces and an increase in the security budget is not so wrong from certain perspectives. The problem arises when we talk about longer wars and the development of prison complexes and security technologies where criminals will live much better than the people. The joke of school and prison has been overcome by the Ecuadorian president, in a state of war he thinks about building Elysium for drug traffickers.

The president of Ecuador attempted to respond like Felipe Calderón Hinojosa to a situation of terrorist drug trafficking; However, he went ahead to show off the corruption, patrimonialism and social precariousness that Plan Colombia or Mérida means. The War on Drug Trafficking has failed because it went on longer than it should have and because the armed forces are sent to fight with their hands tied while the political class is dedicated to looting and colluding with the mafias.

The war on drug trafficking has been a far-reaching policy that the United States promotes; However, according to the advertising that the Ecuadorian government has established, it can be seen that those who benefit are the North American construction companies and arms industries; that is, pentagonism. Mexico and Colombia can give clear examples of the failure of this policy; more than two decades in combat have left such a number of deaths and violence that the results are genocide and Failed States. The war against drug trafficking is the new counterinsurgency strategy of the United States against Latin America. Committing Latin American governments to these failed wars implies encouraging the abandonment of social issues and the promotion of underdevelopment. Although some businessmen consider that war is the right time for business, in the long term everyone loses, just look at how many have to pay property rights and must abandon their businesses for the washing machines of drug trafficking.

We must remember the degree of perversion of the Mérida Initiative, Plan Colombia and narcoterrorism. Drug trafficking is followed by money laundering, drug exploitation, neo-extractivism and all types of criminal activities. Who benefits from putting a country at war? While the president of Ecuador, like Calderón Hinojosa, think of militarization as the acquisition of toys and prisons as science fiction architectural designs, the people must think about migrating to the United States or prepare for an unimaginable escalation of violence; of which Ecuador has given signs.

The American narco-empire and mafia states are what make the ideal combination for Latin American colonialism: forced displacement, poverty, migration, neo-extractivism and corrupting patrimonialism; They constitute a social cycle that makes the narcoeconomy functional for the United States. North America has the capacity to destroy drug traffickers if it really wanted to end the problem; The point is that the main Drug Cartel is the Americans.

The more drug power advances, the more inefficient the State becomes. Federico Campbell talks about the Sicilianization of society and the necrosis of the State in Mexico, it is more than regrettable to glimpse this future for all of Latin America. No government finds a way to save its country from this fate and American drug addiction seems endless.

Only the full and courageous legalization of drugs will allow Latin America to escape this spiral of violence and poverty. If the United States wants to put an end to drug trafficking, let them come to fight drug traffickers or establish health measures for their population. The war on drugs is lost from the beginning and the one who loses the most is society.

United States in the fight for Mexican hegemony

United States in the fight for Mexican hegemony

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero

Nexos Magazine proposes the analysis of the idea of North America in the development of the Mexican political system. Unquestionably, the effects have been broad and the integration of different Mexican social processes into the American orbit is inevitable. The Mexico of revolutionary nationalism only existed in the imagination and dignity of some; In practice, Mexico has been a North American State since it lost the Cristero War and after the Second World War. Mexican nationalism clings to an invertebrate, imaginary homeland, a Comala that disappears when the hour is paid for eight dollars and the gringo employer offers the possibility of full time. In addition to being a PRI member, the Mexican is condemned to wear Mickey Mouse ears as Commander Fidel Castro pointed out.

In the debate over the impact of the Free Trade Agreement and Salinism on the Mexican political system, Master Carlos Ramírez intelligently proposes the concept of Hegemocracy as the form of the regime in our country. The absence of the State is more than noticeable throughout the 20th century, the State has been supplanted (Samuel Schmidt) by the collusion of the different factions that agree on limited governability. In any case, and due to the character who establishes the fight for the hegemony of the cliques (Miguel Basañez), the boss in our country, who breaks the cord, is the United States.

Populists and Technocrats, Globalists and Globaliphobes, no matter how many missteps and vile things they commit to achieve power, they cannot evade the influence of North America. Mexico is a country intervened by strict geopolitical necessity of the United States. The problem is that the incompetence of the cliques generates ungovernability that incites greater colonialism.

Our country has had a “Filipinization” process since the first half of the 20th century. The Africanist leader Francisco Franco contributed to this fact for the survival of his regime and the opportunity that the Cold War provided. Our country, like the Philippines, is increasingly moving away from Hispanicity and creating a folklore that is incorporated into Anglo-Saxon pluralism, but that economically depends on the United States. The Mexican emigrants - from all over the world - who live in the south of North America, are the advance of a Spanglishdad that in a short time will assimilate into the Latin culture of Miami in the Many Pacquio style.

The inertia and gravitation that the United States exerts on Mexico is inevitable, by any means it is broad and total. Some analysts, exhausted by the useless theorist of capitalist liberal democracy, call for a return to common sense. This tells us that immigrants and drug traffickers are more pro-Yankee than technocrats, financiers and specialists. Mexico has no way out, the only way is to Sandiegotijuanarse.

The social awareness of the idea of North America should drive the proposal of public policies that make integration more cordial and effective, which, in any case, is an overwhelming reality. The hypocrisy of the political class – nationalist or neoliberal – only wastes time and, in any case, integration is carried out in a violent way that increasingly costs more lives and expels millions of people each year and every six years.

Who rules in Mexico? Miguel Basañez asks, obviously the United States. Any attempt at a contrary hegemonic construction represents a fallacy that has cost the unthinkable for our country. The only ones who feign ignorance, or do not truly know, that Mexico is part of North America, is a demented political class that hides its criminality. What remains of the Mexican State, perhaps the government bureaucracy, must insist on policies that take advantage of the inertia of a reality that always defeats us.

Morena is built as a Dominant Party

 Morena is built as a Dominant Party

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero

It seems increasingly clear that the Mexican electoral system has entered a terminal crisis. The systematic violation of procedural rules by most political actors is done with the consent of the electoral authority and this is a consequence of the performance of the party system. Participation in politics is contained in the authoritarian dimension of personalism, particularly of executive and factual powers, which deinstitutionalizes parties and decompensates electoral procedures.

Demographic preferences favor Morena's electoral proposals; However, the legislative project of the Fourth Transformation has led to the ruling party including alliances of all kinds at the regional level to achieve a majority that will be overwhelming against the opposition. Partisan migration and political transfuguism have overwhelmed Morena. However, the inclusion that is increasing in Morena for greater electoral profitability determines that the party loses dynamism, leadership and principles. The power that Morena achieves and the inability of its political cadres is terrifying.

The speed that the inclusion of new members and candidates for the Fourth Transformation has taken has blurred the progressivism and Justicialism that was understood as the flag of the Morenoist left; Now, we talk about a humanism that implies everything and nothing. Like the PRI, Morena is becoming a political wild card that orients itself according to the context.

The problem of the new Official Party is the formation of its nomenklatura. It is a fact that even though presidentialism is providential in the direction of the Mexican political system, it was configured as a mortal god that only lasts six years and is subject to an inner circle that truly influences power. This political class became dark and unpunished, until it ignored the principles that gave rise to the party. Will the same thing happen with Morena? How long will it take?

Morena is recruiting political cadres that indicate difficult times ahead, few elements have anything to do with the characteristics that allowed López Obrador to come to power in 2018. Better said, the Morena of 2024 is at the antipodes. If all other parties have failed to control the chiefdoms and informal leaderships, what is the reason why Morena considers otherwise?

The bosses of Mexican politics have put an end to the PRI, PAN, PRD, PVEM and now Morena; There is no doubt that they are going to destroy Mexico like Pedro Páramo did with Comala. A major political reform is necessary that regenerates political participation and institutionalizes the ways of accessing public office.

The Fourth Transformation moves to the Center

The Fourth Transformation moves to the Center

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero

The transfuguism and involvement of different personalities with Morena, although alien to the left-wing ecofeminist progressivism that distinguishes the pure and original networks, has become the main characteristic heading into the 2024 elections.

The situation has been questioned by the media and different analysts, not to mention the former Morena militants themselves who have been harmed by these circumstances.

Zepeda Patterson argues that the climate of polarization is partially causal for this process.

The 4T is not a class struggle, although the liberation of the subaltern sectors – at least in the discourse – was a purpose.

The Mexican State must oscillate between well-being and capitalist liberalism, as the interests of North Americans dictate.

It is unthinkable and impossible for Mexico to oppose the Yankee Empire.

The Mexican Prince resumes his robes, but cannot break the domination of the American Caesar.

Maintain the unity of the country, manage differences; Although the desired national reconciliation does not exist, it is the purpose of a good government.

Despite its contradictions, Morena has achieved it and, to avoid greater interventionism from the United States, the inclusion of moderate actors - even strangers, outsiders or new ones - as well as the formulation of inclusive policies for the Initiative is vital in its political perspective. Private.

Some of the public policies that Morena, and especially AMLO, promoted, will surely remain for another six-year term.

The time necessary for the United States to be able to propose a geopolitics that allows them to better address drug trafficking and emigration.

Not only President López Obrador is responsible for the polarization.

A nation with the history of Mexico is only held on pins and needles and a true process of nationalism would be more detrimental to millions of people.

The hatred and resentment in Mexico are not about social classes but about classes, races, regions and circumstances.

Reconciliation is a longing, but deep down it is impossible. Hence, Morenoist pragmatism has this logic and paradox.

The search for the center is nothing other than the change without rupture of Manuel Camacho Solís, the ad eternum renewal of the pact of domination, the mooring of the anarchist Mexican muégano that for better or worse – according to Escalante Gonzalbo – keeps this country cohesive.

The North American succession in Mexico

 The North American succession in Mexico

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero

Mexico is the piñata of political rhetoric in North American presidential campaigns, only with a probable victory for Donald Trump it is more certain that they will increase aggressiveness against Mexicans

According to the latest demographic data, the polls for the presidential election in the United States favor the Republican party and, particularly, Donald Trump.

The impacts of a Trump presidency on our country have been more vociferous than negative, although anti-Mexican campaigns are beginning to structure an American electorate that demands objective measures to inhibit the contagion of a Failed State.

Mexico is the piñata of political rhetoric in North American presidential campaigns, only with a probable victory for Donald Trump it is more certain that some White House policies will increase the traditional aggressiveness against Mexicans.

Mexico is a tributary state of North America, that is, although it is true that there is a colonialism that has been transformed into a symbiotic relationship, we must ask ourselves how much things can change when a presidential administration is developed in the hands of the Republican party and, fundamentally, of the Trumpists.

Due to its satellite status, the Mexican State functions in a logic of subordination to the core that holds it.

If Trump wins, the proposals he has made regarding the Mexican neighborhood should be moderately developed.

The regulation of drug trafficking, emigration and the strategic location of manufacturing seem to be the main points in the American electorate.

Mexico represents a significant point in the transfer and production of narcotics consumed by American society. The Mexican cartels have caused a disaster that forces the United States to remove them from the country and relocate them to ours.

There is extreme regulation of drug trafficking in North America and the increase in violence in the war on drugs for Mexico.

Emigration is similar to drug trafficking, although they are common issues in many cases and, therefore, the demand is for their reduction.

Deportation is a fact, so, in addition to the country being configured as a receptacle government for Latin American emigration, labor and economic measures will also have to be considered aimed at improving the upcoming social situation.

Subsidies from the United States will be essential to address the migrant phenomenon and the creation of a labor policy independent of the Private Initiative. The Welfare State will continue in Mexico.

Manufacturing has left aside other aspects of colonialism, it may even replace the neo-extractivism that violates many regions of the country.

Neoliberal and progressive economic analysts consider it to be an exceptional opportunity for Mexico in the context of a Sino-American Cold War.

But manufacturing requires increasing the educational level of Mexican society and mobilizing conglomerates of professionals to the northern border or urbanizing the Mexican south.

The Fourth Transformation has not been able to modify Mexico's dependent condition towards the United States; In reality it is impossible.

Although Morena is consolidating a more or less stable transmission of power in several regions; It remains in doubt whether the political cadres he recruits will understand the Mexican-American dynamics and the federal administration's ability to control them.

Political stability is essential to develop the colonialism that our country is experiencing in the best possible way.

The PRI developed a non-competitive authoritarianism that, despite everything, allowed an understanding with the US empire; Neoliberalism put an end to all of this.

The inhibition of a PRI model in Morena is a trigger for factionalism that harms relations with North America.

The social crisis caused by neoliberalism has Mexico on the brink of invasion by the United States.

The non-competitive authoritarianism of the PRI was –contravening the myths- with respect to the militant political class, something that MORENA has as a risk and its capacity for development is not foreseen.