Mexico's Need for North America
Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero
The question regarding the form of US military intervention in Mexico depends only on time; everything seems to indicate that the geopolitical circumstances of the United States and the constant Mexican chaos will turn the Trumpist threat into concrete facts. Mexico's revolutionary nationalism and the second tier of the Fourth Transformation find themselves at a historical moment where the presence of the United States is more than necessary in the face of national vulnerability in the hurricane of changing international relations and the advance of criminality in the country, which constantly surpasses governability in various entities and the capacity for order at different levels of the State. The situation has reached such a point that there is no longer any form of respect or fear for the police or national security forces; governability simply vanishes. A social sentiment has begun to develop regarding the positive effects of US armed intervention, and once the process is carried out, perhaps the authorities will also decide to integrate their functions into the North American condition. The climax of Mexican nationalism has only served to confront the gravitational reality of the Mexican-American dynamic.
President Sheinbaum's ability to govern can only be strengthened by explicit material, military, and economic support from North America. Perhaps the Fourth Transformation is experiencing a Thermidor similar to the Mexican Revolution, and the United States is required to impose the control that the president has been unable to achieve. The powers that be and political actors of the past are betting on a situation of confrontation with President Sheinbaum, which is incomprehensible in terms of political activism, but logical from the perspective of a fierce struggle for power.
President Claudia Sheinbaum faces—like all heads of the national executive branch—harassment from the political groups that formed part of her coalition and presume they have the right to seize their share of power. That condition is impossible at this time, but Mexican cliques accustomed to greed, infiltration, and cover-up are unable to understand the risks facing the country in the face of global changes. The main reasons for Claudia Sheinbaum's conflicts are friendly fire, figures like Ricardo Monreal, Adán Augusto, and Lopezobradorism. Even the governors and local politicians loyal to these tendencies display a voracious particularism and ultra-factionalism that makes it impossible to distinguish who the allies supporting the president are. Morena is dynamiting Morena and the country in the mad race to protect shreds of power, caciques, clienteles, and corporations.
The Mexican political class has become a coven, but its ability to negotiate with authoritarian enclaves and invisible powers is complicated for Mexico. The Morena governors, in particular, are a strange mix of feudalism and satrapy, vying to surpass the previous PRIANRD governors in malice.
Mexican politics is determined by force. The Sonora Group, for example, had to impose itself with enormous violence against both insiders and outsiders; Not even General Porfirio Díaz contrasted his comrades in such a way; he simply assigned them the opposition of time, and during the PRI-TO regime, the United States was always the executioner and arbiter. The PRI culture inherited by Mexico is none other than that of Mars, and only the president of Mexico seems unaware of this. Has Donald Trump understood this? I hope so; otherwise, Mexico will become the Michoacanazo or Culiacanazo of Yankee imperialism.