Thursday, February 27, 2025

The ability to govern in Mexico

 The ability to govern in Mexico

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




Marcelo Ebrard's visit to the United States to lobby for the negative situation that Donald Trump has raised about Mexico, is evidence not only of the limited governability of our country but also of the constant decrease in communicating vessels between the North American and Mexican governments. The government of our country has historically only served to generate intermediations that, in general, are temporary arrangements to appease problems. Samuel Schmidt calls it "Planned Ineffectiveness," telling everyone yes; but never when. Schmidt coordinated, at the end of the last century, one of the original works on the concept of governability. The texts collected in this work, fundamentally the work of Yehezkel Dror, raise the need for ethical political leadership and a project for the future; Indeed, without community goals and objectives, the country is adrift, it is a ship that is driven according to the whims of the powers that be and, as the protagonist of the Tin Drum, it is a sign of emotional immaturity, a State that does not want to grow (Ikram Antaki).


Can the Mexican government still maintain the “quinceañera syndrome”? Probably not. The political situation in Mexico has been demanding definitions for some time and the scenario that Donald Trump poses is more than threatening. The threat of Trumpism is radical against Mexico, we are all enemies of Trumpism and the consideration of terrorism implies a complete denial of Mexican society. It is true that the current times of the “Sugar Daddy” profile can lead to considering that Trumpism is full of old fools and easily manipulated; however, this is not entirely true, at least not for Mexico. If Donald Trump does not prevail against Mexico, it will be evident that the United States does not win wars, not even cultural ones, the American defeat in Mexico will be worse than Vietnam, Afghanistan or Iraq. This time, the risk of failing in the operation against Mexicanness will not only be an unfulfilled promise for the Republican electorate but also a sign of decline in the face of the world; even the failure of the United States to impose governability in Mexico will be a sign of an emotional codependency similar to drug addiction. That is, the United States only wants Mexico as a piñata to ward off its traumas. Mexico has been constantly disapproved of by North America, there have been hundreds of studies that show the Mexican impossibility of American assimilation; therefore, the reason for remaining attached without a radical American intervention is complicated by so many problems that the neighborhood generates.


Claudia Sheinbaum's government can take the support of the United States to establish the minimum levels of governability and call for a national pact that underpins a new social and political leadership. Manuel Camacho Solís proposed national agreements since the terrible 1994 to inhibit governability directed from North America; It is therefore urgent to depolarize the country and call for a national project before the United States decides to turn Mexico into its Latin American Ukraine.

Monday, February 17, 2025

Intermarium and Ukraine against the emerging right

 Intermarium and Ukraine against the emerging right

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero 




The way in which the peace negotiations are creating a scenario favourable to Russia and detrimental to Eastern Europe, particularly Ukraine, marks a change of era and aggravates the crisis of liberal democracy in the world. It is not necessary to specifically point out who says what in relation to Ukraine and NATO, but the truth is that the United States government headed by Republican Donald Trump is including Russia in the Western sphere to the detriment of Europe. How much difference is there compared to the nineties of the last century? The song “God Old Boys” seems to replace the “Winds of change” of that time. Russia can be a hope for the West if Europe embraces the alternative radical right.

Trump, Vance or Rubio seem to justify Vladimir Putin's competitive authoritarianism against the liberal excesses of Western democracy, the fear of the Americans regarding China seems more than real and, therefore, the need for geopolitical regrouping with Russia becomes indispensable, even if it is with the minimum common denominators.

Ukraine is being excluded from the peace process and, apparently, will be fragmented to contain Russian nationalism. The geopolitical advances against Russia led by the American Democratic Party and the Zbigniew Brzezinski model have been contrasted by the Chinese reality; they were not a mistake but something worse.

The right wing is expanding and has, increasingly, greater resources and positions, NATO and the European capitalist countries are vulnerable to the nationalist state capitalism promoted by Russia and the United States. The discourse of liberal democratic globalization has been cancelled and now other globalizations are being seen, perhaps more regional where conservative personalist leaders are receiving the main electoral support.

The countries that intended to marginalize Russia under the geopolitical scheme of the Intermarium or the Three Seas Initiative, have found themselves in adverse scenarios where globalist neoliberalism seems to be the true Chinese conspiracy.

The West will have to subordinate itself to Russia and adopt competitive conservatism in order to find the means to resist the economic and geopolitical onslaught of the Asian giant. In the end, it is the civilisational war that has been the hidden element of any geopolitical essence.

Saturday, February 08, 2025

American military interventions in Mexico

 American military interventions in Mexico

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero



During the 1846 war between Mexico and the United States, the Americans had the opportunity to wrest a larger proportion of territory from the defeated country and they did not do so. Even so, despite the open request of conservative and liberal groups that asked for Mexican integration into North America, or for the American military to remain there as long as possible. There will always be doubts about the reasons that inhibited the Yankees; later it seems that moderation prevailed to contain the territorial voracity of the American Union.

Some historians grant the main reason for American containment of Mexico to be the fact of the American Civil War, undoubtedly the most violent war of the 19th century. Is this trigger pointed out by General Ulysses Grant still valid in the event of a military intervention by the United States in Mexico right now? According to Friedman, Garreau and Huntington, the question is more than valid. Savage American liberalism does not protect anyone; including themselves. The US military intervention in Mexico would unleash another US civil war and the possibility of absolute decline of North America.

Throughout the 20th century, in various critical situations for Mexican governability and with greater elements of power in favor of the United States, no Yankee president intended to start a war against Mexico; there were always all kinds of threats and warnings, but blood did not flow again despite extreme situations. The interventions have been surgical and, rather, have sought the stabilization of the Mexican government in power.

It is true that Donald Trump is changing the paradigm of power in the United States and seeks to rearrange the North American hegemony for a total defense against China. However, if the fear of the BRICS were true and real, all of Mexico would be an American aircraft carrier as Panama became in the nineties and even ships of that type break down without proper maintenance.

Apparently, Trumpism is diminishing in its outbursts and harsh reality forces it to find plausible strategies. Perhaps the unscrupulous American interventions that have been in the news in recent decades are coming to Mexico: kidnappings of high-ranking figures, armed commandos, spy flights and infiltrations of all kinds. Something that President Sheinbaum has surely known about for a long time; but, for which she must also prepare well.

There is a North American attempt to kidnap the Mexican presidency as was done during the government of José López Portillo, whom, later, they were also unable to control. When Salinas de Gortari faced the triumph of Cardenismo in his election, the technocrats abandoned the government to the fate of the United States and, once again, they refused to take control. The American power elite (globalist, transnational or nationalist) ends up coming to an understanding with the Mexican nomenklatura and the set of authoritarian enclaves that remain. Mexico is not Panama, rather, the republic ends up being the Catholic wife of the American Henry VIII that will never be able to behead; Above all, because American enrichment is not even competent to take care of the small house.

The threatening tone of Trumpism is increasingly less like Operation Barbarossa. However, it is important to find common ways to reduce the influence of the drug-trafficking barbarism that is turning Mexico and the United States into Failed States.

Monday, February 03, 2025

Tejas vs. Texas vs. the United States

 Tejas vs. Texas vs. the United States

Diego Martín Velázquez Caballero




George Friedman's perspective on the conflict between Mexico and the United States projected for the year 2080, begins to develop some of its facets in the south of North America and particularly in Texas. The Lone Star State, like others in the American Union, is generating a disruptive dynamic in the face of the appearance of Donald Trump and his style of government; Texas, California and other entities are considering the exit from American federalism not only because of the differences with Trumpism but also because of the internal conflicts that have begun to develop.

Leopoldo Santos in La Jornada reviews, a few days ago, the historical movements of Mexican-Americans who crossed the border and have fought - politically and militarily - the WASP hegemony that does not respect their historical and contingent rights. Mexican-Americans, at least in the case of Texas, have been historically oppressed like the native North American Indians and almost driven to extermination as well; Their defense must have been reflected in the use of force and the conquest of civil rights through social movements. In addition to the evidence that Santos Ramírez proposes regarding Mexican-American guerrillas and nationalist secret societies for almost a century, it is also important to highlight the multiplication of clashes between cells of Mexican drug traffickers and American police that have begun to be publicized as a reaction of nationalism against the accusation of terrorism imposed by the American federal government. Similarly, the patriotic civil forces of WASP begin to fight against public forces that reject the Trumpist narrative and against any element that they consider a strange or alien member: foreigners, Mexicans, drug traffickers, zombies and reptilians. The Lone Star State begins to become irritated in its multiculturalism and the prognosis is reserved as Friedman stipulates, the forces in conflict are even.

Texas has its own history and Donald Trump has begun to break a balance that can cause the fracture of the United States. Mexamerica is not willing to remain any longer in the limbo that Octavio Paz placed it in; a nothingness that both Mexico and the United States have failed to take advantage of. The Mexican-American territory represents a culture that integrates the north of Mexico and the south of the United States; its emergence as a nation-state, as proposed by Joel Garreau, could activate the disintegration of North America and Mexico.

Trump faces internal dynamics that question the WASP hegemony and that are even willing to radically confront it. The demonstrations of Mexican migrants who demand their inclusion in the United States, the existence of Mexican-American guerrillas and the role of drug cartels in Texas, indicate a context that is not easy for Republican Trumpism. Multiculturalism in Texas represents a possibility of integration between Mexico and the United States that can provide positive elements for all parties. The United States' neglect of Mexican-Americans is also a sign that Mexico has abandoned immigrants and Americans of Mexican descent. The need for transnational public policies may imply the harmonization of economic, political, and social forces that have more elements in common than differences. Mexico's focus on Texas and the states where Mexican migrants and Mexican-Americans reside represents a historic opportunity for integration and peace with the United States.